Peace Negotiation

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December 09, 2019

Washington Debates Role Of Satellites In Open Skies Treaty

Melissa Hanham, a nuclear and open-source intelligence expert at the One Earth Future Foundation, said that while satellites are more capable than ever before, all space sensors could instead fly closer to land on aerial platforms, so planes offer higher-quality images.
June 25, 2019

Rescuing multilateralism

The One Earth Future foundation notes, for example, that: “the African continent will be forced to face negative challenges with negative AI” due to weak governments and social divisions. In this context, European efforts to establish multilateral rules for technology governance may appeal to other ...
June 15, 2019

Sudan and Algeria overthrow despots but not their political systems

Analysts counted 18 attempted coups around the world in 1966 and none at all in 2007 or 2018. According to CoupCast, a predictive model based on 68 economic and other variables, Africa is the only continent where the factors that foster coups are still fairly widespread (see map).
May 23, 2019

Five Ways Terrorists Use the Maritime Domain

The fight against terrorism and criminal networks tends to focus on efforts on land, ignoring the role of the maritime domain. This results in a collective blind spot regarding complex problems like modern-day piracy, non-state terrorism, and transnational criminality.
May 22, 2019

Trust and Justice In Burundi

Hopes for peace in Burundi have been stymied as mediation talks have once again been postponed. If the government had implemented transitional justice mechanisms from an earlier peace and reconciliation agreement, would peace have had a better chance?
Jay Benson
Matthew Frank
Clayton Besaw
Jonathan Powell
Eric Keels
April 26, 2019

Annual Risk of Coup Report - 2019

The goals of this first ever Annual Risk of Coup Report are two-fold. First, it provides an in-depth global and regional look at the likelihood of coup events for 2019 based on a combination of quantitative forecasting and qualitative analysis of specific coup-prone states.